Thursday 17 March 2011

15:45 Towcester Gifted leader £400 win 7/1

Has shown signs of ability and has raced in much better company then he meets today, Not as bad a bare result suggested lto travelled well and given easy time on run in when jockey recognised he was beaten. Was outclassed two starts prior to that over 2m1 and 2m3. Ran well and finished one paced over 2 miles to finish 2nd at Haydock last Nov finding one too good in the persistent Rio Gael. Does finish one paced so today’s race could be well suited as I predict there will be a distinct lack of pace throughout, with the exception of l’eldorado who I expect to make all, L’eldorado won lto over 2m1 at Market Rasen, that was against very weak opposition (was unchallenged virtually the whole way) on a track suited too his running style. I think he need further then today’s trip and will get found out by the selection on the run in.
Kadoushki is not the horse he once was, only just held on in a very weak affair at Sandown lto so one to oppose for me, Can’t see anything else getting involved, and the trip, pace and circuit all look to be in the selections favour today.

Update: Ran a shocker!

Race comment: held up mid-division, one pace in 5th when jumped left 2 out**5th

18:15 Wolves Midnight Strider £250 10/1

Don’t normally get involved in these races but I can’t ignore the fact this one is 10/1.
Not straightforward by any means put does respond well when asked. Goes well round here won twice and placed twice in six starts two wins have come over today’s trip. Has looked a little awkward in bigger fields previously and will appreciate the smaller field here. His best runs have been when he gets the rail early, which today’s inside draw should help him achieve. Can forgive last two starts as he was ridden the wrong way,(held up instead of racing prominently and preferably needs to be covered up.) Dubai Miracle will have his supporters but has looked ungenuine and for me is better over shorter. Erinjay rate’s the main danger, but may prefer the pace a little stronger then he gets today.

Race comment:led, ridden over 2f out, headed 2f out, stayed on**2nd

Bank = £4,875

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