Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Bank = £2375

14:20 Southwell Ivory Jazz £100 e/w 16/1

A horse not without his problems, he put in a couple of decent performances for Dean Ivory, notably last Aril when after an absence of over 600 days he sprung a surprise over 1 mile at Kempton, Showed a good attitude that day to beat two useful in form types benandonner and Jake the Snake. Handicapper over reacted awarding him an opening mark of 87 when making his debut for new yard over 10f at Chester last may. Races off a more realistic mark off 74 today with underrated Jockey Nora Looby claiming a further 7lbs, What is interesting to me is he hasn’t yet raced on easy ground and judging by his action he could be suited to it, whether he acts on the fibresand remains to be seen however he pedigree would suggest he has a good chance of doing so. Went hard after a 172 day absence 10 days ago over 10f at Lingfield notably travelled well throughout the race looking slightly one paced towards the end, probably needed that run and looked as though the step up in trip will suit. Plenty to prove but at 16/1 looks a good e/w prospect.

Race comment:led early, clear with leader 9f out, ridden over 3f out, weakened final furlong ## 6th sp 16/1

14:30 Kempton Cloudy Start 8/1 £200 win

Previously had ability over 7 and 8 furlongs on turf, seems to have lost a yard or two in pace, which was evident throughout his 2011 campaign, increasingly stepped up in distance throughout the year, the furthest being 1m6 back in November, was stretched too far that day and has since had three runs in moderate company at Linfield, a track on which he has never been his best at, He was shuffled back early on his last outing and disadvantaged throughout, in a race run at a muddling pace, he was denied a passage through when staying on well after having to make up plenty of ground on the home straight.
I believe he has a race in him over today’s trip and with the exception of allanit few of these will want to set any pace, this will suit the selection as I believe from stall 8 he will need to come across forcing him to race handily, a position which he has shown in the past can work to his advantage, Jamie Osborne has his stable in good order and may have placed this one well in here off a dangerous mark.

Race comment:held up towards rear, headway over 3f out, stayed on well, never nearer ## 6th sp 6/1

16:10 Leciester Grassfinch £250 win 14/1

Mujamead is currently favourite but is worth opposing for me, he’s better over two miles and I believe he’ll struggle with the conditions here today. David Pipe’s runners at Leicester have to be respected, he runs Painter man (2nd fav) in this. I remain unconvinced however, particularly by his attitude and the fact he’s prone to errors, which I think today’s stiff task will once again bring out of him. I willing to take them both on with the Mare Grassfinch, she wasn’t disgraced on reappearance at Fontwell back in December, came on for that run to put in a good performance at Warwick lto, not given a hard time that day she finished 18 lengths back to the useful Kaffe, travelled and jumped well for much of the race. An opening mark of 107 looks fair she should be spot on for this, and she looks the type who will take to what I believe will be a stiff test here today

Race comment:in touch, lost place 2nd, well behind after 6th, pulled up before 3 out ## PU sp 10/1

Bank = £1725